Jayden Daniels vs Jalen Hurts
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Eagles
Market69.4%
Model73.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadEagles -5.5 -108Kalshi+7.3% EV
MoneylineEagles -213Kalshi
TotalOver 44.5 +108Kalshi+7.3% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Jayden Daniels
Commanders · QBQB Elo
+52
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
38.5
Games
19
Jalen Hurts
Eagles · QBQB Elo
+63
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
42.5
Games
54
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.