Falcons
Elo 1462 · #20 · 0-1
@
Sun, Sep 13, 12:00 PM CT
Final 13–20
Steelers
Elo 1547 · #14 · 1-0
Cooper Rush vs Aaron Rodgers
Falcons Spread
+6.5-103ProphetX
Steelers Spread
-6.5+100Kalshi
Over / Under
O 40.5-104Kalshi
U 40.5+100Kalshi
Falcons ML
+270ProphetX
Steelers ML
-270Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Win probability — Steelers

Market72.3%
Model66.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadFalcons +6.5 -113ProphetX+4.9% EV
MoneylineSteelers -255Kalshi
TotalOver 40.5 -108Kalshi+8.5% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Cooper Rush
Falcons · QB
QB Elo
-16
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
14.6
Games
18
Aaron Rodgers
Steelers · QB
QB Elo
+15
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
25.6
Games
34
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.