Geno Smith vs Cam Ward
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Titans
Market51.7%
Model47.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadJets +1.5 -108Kalshi+6.3% EV
MoneylineJets +104Kalshi
TotalOver 38.5 -108Kalshi+12.9% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Geno Smith
Jets · QBQB Elo
+31
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
31.1
Games
50
Cam Ward
Titans · QBLimited data — no rating yet for this starter.
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.