Cardinals
Elo 1438 · #26 · 1-0
@
Sun, Sep 13, 3:25 PM CT
Final 26–14
Chargers
Elo 1502 · #17 · 0-1
Jacoby Brissett vs Justin Herbert
Cardinals Spread
+9.5-106ProphetX
Chargers Spread
-9.5+102ProphetX
Over / Under
O 47-102ProphetX
U 47+100ProphetX
Cardinals ML
+415ProphetX
Chargers ML
-435ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Win probability — Chargers

Market80.3%
Model82.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadCardinals +11 -136ProphetX-8.3% EV
MoneylineChargers -430ProphetX
TotalUnder 47.5 -109ProphetX-0.4% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Jacoby Brissett
Cardinals · QB
QB Elo
-13
vs avg
Average
Raw value
15.9
Games
19
Justin Herbert
Chargers · QB
QB Elo
+30
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
30.8
Games
49
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.