Josh Allen vs C.J. Stroud
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Texans
Market48.2%
Model46.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadTexans +1.5 -104Kalshi-1.5% EV
MoneylineBills -108ProphetX
TotalOver 44.5 +100Kalshi+3.2% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Josh Allen
Bills · QBQB Elo
+90
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
51.9
Games
56
C.J. Stroud
Texans · QBQB Elo
0
vs avg
Average
Raw value
20.3
Games
36
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Bills injuriesTy Johnson · RB · Questionable
Hamstring
Cole Bishop · S · Questionable
Knee / Groin
T.J. Sanders · DE · Questionable
Knee / Illness
Texans injuriesNo reported injuries.