Jordan Love vs Kyler Murray
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Vikings
Market54.5%
Model59.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadVikings -2.5 +100Kalshi+4.7% EV
MoneylineVikings -122Kalshi
TotalUnder 46.5 -108Kalshi-2.3% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Jordan Love
Packers · QBQB Elo
+28
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
30.0
Games
37
Kyler Murray
Vikings · QBQB Elo
+55
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
39.5
Games
35
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.