Dak Prescott vs Jaxson Dart
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Giants
Market39.7%
Model40.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadCowboys -2.5 -120Kalshi-3.5% EV
MoneylineCowboys -150Kalshi
TotalUnder 47.5 +100Kalshi+3.9% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Dak Prescott
Cowboys · QBQB Elo
+40
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
34.5
Games
40
Jaxson Dart
Giants · QBLimited data — no rating yet for this starter.
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.