Saints
Elo 1439 · #25 · 0-1
@
Sun, Sep 13, 12:00 PM CT
Final 30–31
Lions
Elo 1567 · #10 · 1-0
Tyler Shough vs Jared Goff
Saints Spread
+7.5-122Kalshi
Lions Spread
-7.5+117Kalshi
Over / Under
O 49.5-108Kalshi
U 49.5+104Kalshi
Saints ML
+285Kalshi
Lions ML
-295ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Win probability — Lions

Market73.8%
Model78.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadLions -7.5 +117Kalshi+15.0% EV
MoneylineLions -300ProphetX
TotalUnder 49.5 +104Kalshi+10.8% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Tyler Shough
Saints · QB
Limited data — no rating yet for this starter.
Jared Goff
Lions · QB
QB Elo
+60
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
41.2
Games
55
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.

Injuries

Saints injuries
No reported injuries.
Lions injuries
D.J. Reed · CB · Questionable
Foot
Christian Mahogany · G · Out
Hip
Blake Miller · T · Out
Knee