Tyler Shough vs Lamar Jackson
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Ravens
Market77.4%
Model83.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadRavens -8.5 +104Kalshi+16.9% EV
MoneylineRavens -360ProphetX
TotalUnder 46.5 +100Kalshi+1.1% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Tyler Shough
Limited data — no rating yet for this starter.
Lamar Jackson
QB Elo
+99
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
55.0
Games
48
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.