Bryce Young vs Tua Tagovailoa
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Falcons
Market43.4%
Model55.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadFalcons +2.5 +100Kalshi+21.3% EV
MoneylineFalcons +130ProphetX
TotalOver 44.5 +104Kalshi+5.7% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Bryce Young
Panthers · QBQB Elo
-3
vs avg
Average
Raw value
19.3
Games
29
Tua Tagovailoa
Falcons · QBQB Elo
+47
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
36.8
Games
42
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.