Drew Lock vs Jacoby Brissett
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Cardinals
Market35.2%
Model31.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadSeahawks -3.5 -108Kalshi+5.9% EV
MoneylineSeahawks -190ProphetX
TotalOver 41.5 +100Kalshi+10.7% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Drew Lock
Seahawks · QBQB Elo
-24
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
11.9
Games
10
Jacoby Brissett
Cardinals · QBQB Elo
-13
vs avg
Average
Raw value
15.9
Games
19
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.