Jordan Love vs Geno Smith
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Jets
Market38.4%
Model41.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadJets +3.5 -113Kalshi+1.9% EV
MoneylinePackers -162ProphetX
TotalOver 44.5 +100Kalshi+3.6% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Jordan Love
Packers · QBQB Elo
+28
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
30.0
Games
37
Geno Smith
Jets · QBQB Elo
+31
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
31.1
Games
50
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.