Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Giants
Market69.8%
Model71.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadGiants -5.5 -113NoVig-1.3% EV
MoneylineGiants -257Kalshi
TotalOver 42.5 -106NoVig+5.3% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Mitchell Trubisky
Titans · QBQB Elo
-24
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
12.0
Games
13
Jameis Winston
Giants · QBQB Elo
-26
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
11.3
Games
14
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.