Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Northwestern
Market61.1%
Model65.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadWildcats -3.5 +100Kalshi+5.1% EV
MoneylineWildcats -158ProphetX
TotalOver 48.5 +104Kalshi+3.7% EV