Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — South Alabama
Market69.8%
Model59.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadBobcats +6.5 +113Kalshi+23.8% EV
MoneylineJaguars -245ProphetX
TotalOver 48.5 -108Kalshi+6.0% EV