Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Alabama
Market90.0%
Model90.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadSeminoles +17.5 +118ProphetX+16.5% EV
MoneylineTide -1100ProphetX
TotalOver 47 -136ProphetX-7.8% EV