Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Central Michigan
Market51.3%
Model62.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadChippewas -1.5 +100Kalshi+12.1% EV
MoneylineChippewas -111ProphetX
TotalOver 37.5 -117Kalshi-4.0% EV