Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Middle Tennessee
Market38.1%
Model41.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadRaiders +3.5 +107ProphetX+9.1% EV
MoneylinePack -170Kalshi
TotalUnder 50.5 -113Kalshi-1.5% EV