Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — South Carolina
Market61.7%
Model59.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadBulldogs +3.5 +104Kalshi+5.2% EV
MoneylineGamecocks -163Kalshi
TotalUnder 58.5 +104Kalshi+6.9% EV