Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Toledo
Market66.3%
Model69.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadRockets -5.5 -108Kalshi-0.8% EV
MoneylineRockets -210ProphetX
TotalOver 50.5 -104Kalshi-0.6% EV