Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Louisiana
Market73.2%
Model74.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadBlazers +7.5 +100Kalshi+0.1% EV
MoneylineCajuns -285Kalshi
TotalOver 56.5 -103ProphetX+2.5% EV