Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Old Dominion
Market56.6%
Model60.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadMonarchs -2.5 -115ProphetX-3.3% EV
MoneylineMonarchs -133Kalshi
TotalOver 49.5 +108Kalshi+8.0% EV