Illinois
Elo 1640 · #45 · 5-3
@
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT
Final 20–17
Maryland
Elo 1355 · #125 · 2-6
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
52°F · Partly cloudy
Wind 2 mph
Power edge
Illinois by 8.5 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 35% · Market 45%
IllinoisElo
1640
Rank
#45
Record
5-3
Point diff +38
MarylandElo
1355
Rank
#125
Record
2-6
Point diff -38
Win probability — Maryland
Market44.6%
Model34.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadIllini -2.5 -102ProphetX+10.9% EV
MoneylineIllini -125NoVig
TotalOver 54.5 -102ProphetX+0.9% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Illinois · QB
Yards
1,663
TD-INT
13-5
Comp%
65%
2026: 7.7 Y/A · 138 rush yds, 2 TD
Maryland · QB
Yards
1,805
TD-INT
9-7
Comp%
60%
2026: 6.2 Y/A · 137 rush yds, 2 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.