Washington State
Elo 1379 · #121 · 1-8
@
Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM CT
Final 20–26
San Diego State
Elo 1470 · #99 · 4-5
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
65°F · Clear
Wind 7 mph
Power edge
San Diego State by 6.0 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 60% · Market 56%
Washington StateElo
1379
Rank
#121
Record
1-8
Point diff -76
San Diego StateElo
1470
Rank
#99
Record
4-5
Point diff -71
Win probability — San Diego State
Market55.6%
Model60.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadAztecs -2.5 -105ProphetX+1.2% EV
MoneylineAztecs -127Kalshi
TotalOver 48.5 -102Kalshi+0.5% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Washington State · QB
Yards
952
TD-INT
3-5
Comp%
62%
2026: 5.3 Y/A · 194 rush yds, 3 TD
San Diego State · QB
Yards
896
TD-INT
7-5
Comp%
55%
2026: 6.0 Y/A · 27 rush yds
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.