Picks De Chillbeta
UAB
Elo 1483 · #94 · 4-4
@
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT
Final 10–30
South Florida
Elo 1681 · #36 · 6-2
UAB Spread
+7.5-104Kalshi
South Florida Spread
-7.5+104NoVig
Over / Under
O 42.5+103ProphetX
U 42.5-104Kalshi
UAB ML
+270NoVig
South Florida ML
-265ProphetX
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.

Matchup factors

Weather
72°F · Cloudy
Wind 5 mph
Power edge
South Florida by 10.1 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 76% · Market 72%
UAB
Elo
1483
Rank
#94
Record
4-4
Point diff -29
South Florida
Elo
1681
Rank
#36
Record
6-2
Point diff +100

Win probability — South Florida

Market72.4%
Model75.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadBulls -7.5 -106NoVig-1.2% EV
MoneylineBulls -285ProphetX
TotalOver 42.5 -104ProphetX+7.1% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Ryder Burton
UAB · QB
Yards
1,333
TD-INT
6-5
Comp%
54%
2026: 6.9 Y/A · -10 rush yds, 1 TD
Michael Van Buren Jr.
South Florida · QB
Yards
1,273
TD-INT
6-0
Comp%
64%
2026: 7.0 Y/A · 100 rush yds, 2 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.