Picks De Chillbeta
Wisconsin
Elo 1637 · #47 · 5-3
@
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT
Final 0–30
IH
Iowa
Elo 1761 · #22 · 6-2
Wisconsin Spread
+2.5+104NoVig
Iowa Spread
-2.5-104Kalshi
Over / Under
O 36.5+100NoVig
U 36.5-104NoVig
Wisconsin ML
+125NoVig
Iowa ML
-127Kalshi
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.

Matchup factors

Weather
57°F · Cloudy
Wind 7 mph
Power edge
Iowa by 7.3 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 61% · Market 55%
Wisconsin
Elo
1637
Rank
#47
Record
5-3
Point diff +52
IHIowa
Elo
1761
Rank
#22
Record
6-2
Point diff +126

Win probability — Iowa

Market55.1%
Model61.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadBadgers +3.5 -110NoVig-4.5% EV
MoneylineHawkeyes -153Kalshi
TotalOver 36.5 -104NoVig+1.6% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Colton Joseph
Wisconsin · QB
Yards
1,346
TD-INT
11-5
Comp%
56%
2026: 7.2 Y/A · 371 rush yds, 4 TD
IH
Hank Brown
Iowa · QB
Yards
1,190
TD-INT
8-3
Comp%
64%
2026: 7.0 Y/A · 33 rush yds, 1 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.