Picks De Chillbeta
Stanford
Elo 1507 · #89 · 4-5
@
Sat, Oct 31, 2:15 PM CT
Final 24–52
Louisville
Elo 1744 · #24 · 5-3
Stanford Spread
+22.5+102NoVig
Louisville Spread
-22.5-104NoVig
Over / Under
O 60.5+104NoVig
U 60.5-104Kalshi
Stanford ML
+1400ProphetX
Louisville ML
-1438NoVig
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.

Matchup factors

Weather
58°F · Drizzle
Wind 7 mph
Power edge
Louisville by 11.6 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Stanford
Elo
1507
Rank
#89
Record
4-5
Point diff -153
Louisville
Elo
1744
Rank
#24
Record
5-3
Point diff +107

Win probability — Louisville

Market92.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

Spreadno lean
Moneylineno lean
TotalUnder 59.5 -102Kalshi+4.3% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Davis Warren
Stanford · QB
Yards
2,203
TD-INT
14-3
Comp%
60%
2026: 7.2 Y/A · -50 rush yds
Lincoln Kienholz
Louisville · QB
Yards
2,094
TD-INT
12-3
Comp%
68%
2026: 10.1 Y/A · 313 rush yds, 11 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.