Picks De Chillbeta
Minnesota
Elo 1577 · #70 · 5-3
@
Sat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CT
Final 16–23
Indiana
Elo 1925 · #1 · 8-1
Minnesota Spread
+20.5+107ProphetX
Indiana Spread
-20.5-106FanDuel
Over / Under
O 41.5+104Kalshi
U 41.5-108Kalshi
Minnesota ML
+1150Kalshi
Indiana ML
-1150Kalshi
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.

Matchup factors

Weather
61°F · Partly cloudy
Wind 4 mph
Power edge
Indiana by 15.9 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 92% · Market 91%
Minnesota
Elo
1577
Rank
#70
Record
5-3
Point diff +38
Indiana
Elo
1925
Rank
#1
Record
8-1
Point diff +180

Win probability — Indiana

Market90.7%
Model91.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadGophers +20.5 +104ProphetX+14.6% EV
MoneylineHoosiers -1150Kalshi
TotalOver 41.5 -104Kalshi+4.5% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Drake Lindsey
Minnesota · QB
Yards
1,592
TD-INT
10-6
Comp%
62%
2026: 6.1 Y/A · -39 rush yds
Josh Hoover
Indiana · QB
Yards
1,860
TD-INT
19-2
Comp%
60%
2026: 9.0 Y/A · 54 rush yds, 2 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.