Picks De Chillbeta
Bowling Green
Elo 1357 · #124 · 2-7
@
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT
Final 10–23
WM
Western Michigan
Elo 1637 · #46 · 6-3
Bowling Green Spread
+14-103Pinnacle
Western Michigan Spread
-14-106Caesars
Over / Under
O 44.5+101ProphetX
U 44.5+100Kalshi
Bowling Green ML
+520FanDuel
Western Michigan ML
-525Kalshi
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.

Matchup factors

Weather
56°F · Cloudy
Wind 5 mph
Power edge
Western Michigan by 13.3 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 84% · Market 83%
Bowling Green
Elo
1357
Rank
#124
Record
2-7
Point diff -101
WMWestern Michigan
Elo
1637
Rank
#46
Record
6-3
Point diff +63

Win probability — Western Michigan

Market83.1%
Model84.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadFalcons +12.5 +102Pinnacle+1.4% EV
MoneylineBroncos -488Kalshi
TotalOver 44.5 +100ProphetX+2.8% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Jay Kastantin
Bowling Green · QB
Yards
1,567
TD-INT
11-8
Comp%
67%
2026: 7.0 Y/A · 167 rush yds, 1 TD
WM
Broc Lowry
Western Michigan · QB
Yards
1,397
TD-INT
11-3
Comp%
62%
2026: 7.2 Y/A · 259 rush yds, 4 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.