Picks De Chillbeta
UM
UTEP
Elo 1213 · #137 · 1-7
@
Sat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CT
Final 7–31
North Dakota State
Elo 1751 · #23 · 7-2
UTEP Spread
+24.5-107ProphetX
North Dakota State Spread
-24.5+106NoVig
Over / Under
O 43.5+104Kalshi
U 43.5-106NoVig
UTEP ML
+1800ProphetX
North Dakota State ML
-1850ProphetX
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.

Matchup factors

Weather
Indoors · no weather factor
Power edge
North Dakota State by 23.2 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 96% · Market 94%
UMUTEP
Elo
1213
Rank
#137
Record
1-7
Point diff -179
North Dakota State
Elo
1751
Rank
#23
Record
7-2
Point diff +146

Win probability — North Dakota State

Market94.0%
Model95.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadMiners +24.5 -108ProphetX-0.0% EV
MoneylineBison -1718ProphetX
TotalOver 42.5 -110Kalshi+6.5% EV

Starting quarterbacks

UM
EJ Colson
UTEP · QB
Yards
687
TD-INT
7-5
Comp%
67%
2026: 6.9 Y/A · 129 rush yds, 1 TD
Nathan Hayes
North Dakota State · QB
Yards
1,710
TD-INT
13-8
Comp%
64%
2026: 7.5 Y/A · 228 rush yds, 5 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.