Ohio State
Elo 1861 · #5 · 6-2
@
Sat, Oct 31, 6:30 PM CT
Final 18–30
USC
Elo 1762 · #20 · 7-2
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
68°F · Clear
Wind 14 mph — breezy
Power edge
Ohio State by 1.3 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 27% · Market 32%
Ohio StateElo
1861
Rank
#5
Record
6-2
Point diff +169
USCElo
1762
Rank
#20
Record
7-2
Point diff +74
Win probability — USC
Market32.2%
Model27.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadBuckeyes -6.5 -108NoVig-0.3% EV
MoneylineBuckeyes -228FanDuel
TotalOver 51.5 +100ProphetX+2.3% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Ohio State · QB
Yards
2,007
TD-INT
19-4
Comp%
68%
2026: 10.5 Y/A · -9 rush yds, 2 TD
USC · QB
Yards
2,525
TD-INT
20-5
Comp%
67%
2026: 8.5 Y/A · -71 rush yds, 2 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.