Mississippi State
Elo 1533 · #78 · 4-4
@
Sat, Oct 31, 6:30 PM CT
Final 3–31
Texas
Elo 1803 · #11 · 6-2
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
74°F · Clear
Wind 3 mph
Power edge
Texas by 12.9 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Mississippi StateElo
1533
Rank
#78
Record
4-4
Point diff -12
TexasElo
1803
Rank
#11
Record
6-2
Point diff +109
Win probability — Texas
Market90.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
Moneylineno lean
TotalOver 50.5 -104NoVig+5.3% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Mississippi State · QB
Yards
1,460
TD-INT
17-4
Comp%
65%
2026: 9.2 Y/A · 147 rush yds, 1 TD
Texas · QB
Yards
1,730
TD-INT
15-7
Comp%
65%
2026: 8.0 Y/A · 111 rush yds, 2 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.