SM
SMU
Elo 1710 · #31 · 6-2
@
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT
Final 27–30
Syracuse
Elo 1472 · #96 · 4-4
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
Indoors · no weather factor
Power edge
SMU by 6.7 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 20% · Market 25%
SMSMU
Elo
1710
Rank
#31
Record
6-2
Point diff +104
SyracuseElo
1472
Rank
#96
Record
4-4
Point diff +40
Win probability — Syracuse
Market25.3%
Model20.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadMustangs -10.5 +100Kalshi+0.6% EV
MoneylineMustangs -335ProphetX
TotalOver 57.5 -104Kalshi-1.6% EV
Starting quarterbacks
SM
SMU · QB
Yards
2,433
TD-INT
21-5
Comp%
74%
2026: 9.7 Y/A · 116 rush yds, 2 TD
Syracuse · QB
Yards
1,186
TD-INT
7-5
Comp%
57%
2026: 6.9 Y/A · -8 rush yds, 1 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.