Oregon State
Elo 1606 · #59 · 5-3
@
Sat, Oct 31, 10:00 PM CT
Final 22–38
Fresno State
Elo 1658 · #41 · 5-3
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
62°F · Cloudy
Wind 3 mph
Power edge
Fresno State by 4.5 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 42% · Market 33%
Oregon StateElo
1606
Rank
#59
Record
5-3
Point diff +121
Fresno StateElo
1658
Rank
#41
Record
5-3
Point diff +63
Win probability — Fresno State
Market33.0%
Model42.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadBulldogs +5.5 +100Pinnacle+13.9% EV
MoneylineBeavers -205NoVig
TotalUnder 57.5 +100Kalshi+6.2% EV
Starting quarterbacks
Oregon State · QB
Yards
2,956
TD-INT
25-2
Comp%
67%
2026: 8.9 Y/A · -13 rush yds, 2 TD
Fresno State · QB
Yards
1,595
TD-INT
10-2
Comp%
63%
2026: 7.5 Y/A · 163 rush yds, 4 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.