Picks De Chillbeta
Missouri
Elo 1761 · #21 · 6-2
@
Sat, Oct 31, 6:45 PM CT
Final 34–10
Arkansas
Elo 1492 · #93 · 3-5
Missouri Spread
-10.5+106NoVig
Arkansas Spread
+10.5-108Kalshi
Over / Under
O 48.5+100Kalshi
U 48.5-104Kalshi
Missouri ML
-344NoVig
Arkansas ML
+340ProphetX
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.

Matchup factors

Weather
60°F · Rain
Wind 11 mph
Power edge
Missouri by 7.8 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 28% · Market 23%
Missouri
Elo
1761
Rank
#21
Record
6-2
Point diff +105
Arkansas
Elo
1492
Rank
#93
Record
3-5
Point diff -64

Win probability — Arkansas

Market23.4%
Model28.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadRazorbacks +9.5 +104Kalshi+13.5% EV
MoneylineTigers -335NoVig
TotalOver 49.5 +100Kalshi+1.4% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Austin Simmons
Missouri · QB
Yards
1,935
TD-INT
16-2
Comp%
63%
2026: 8.1 Y/A · 29 rush yds
KJ Jackson
Arkansas · QB
Yards
1,673
TD-INT
7-5
Comp%
61%
2026: 6.7 Y/A · 173 rush yds, 4 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.