California
Elo 1403 · #115 · 3-6
@
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT
Final 10–31
NC State
Elo 1582 · #68 · 4-4
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
59°F · Cloudy
Wind 4 mph
Power edge
NC State by 9.4 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 72% · Market 73%
CaliforniaElo
1403
Rank
#115
Record
3-6
Point diff -87
NC StateElo
1582
Rank
#68
Record
4-4
Point diff +50
Win probability — NC State
Market72.8%
Model72.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadWolfpack -7 -102NoVig-0.6% EV
MoneylineWolfpack -233NoVig
TotalOver 56.5 -104Kalshi-1.0% EV
Starting quarterbacks
California · QB
Yards
1,751
TD-INT
11-6
Comp%
67%
2026: 6.6 Y/A · -72 rush yds
NC State · QB
Yards
1,955
TD-INT
13-4
Comp%
64%
2026: 8.0 Y/A · 178 rush yds, 2 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.