Picks De Chillbeta
UConn
Elo 1569 · #73 · 4-4
@
Sat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM CT
Final 26–35
Air Force
Elo 1608 · #57 · 6-2
UConn Spread
-1.5+104Kalshi
Air Force Spread
+1.5-104NoVig
Over / Under
O 52.5+100Kalshi
U 52.5+100NoVig
UConn ML
-104Kalshi
Air Force ML
+106ProphetX
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.

Matchup factors

Weather
47°F · Cloudy
Wind 1 mph
Power edge
Air Force by 4.0 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 51% · Market 49%
UConn
Elo
1569
Rank
#73
Record
4-4
Point diff +73
Air Force
Elo
1608
Rank
#57
Record
6-2
Point diff +62

Win probability — Air Force

Market49.1%
Model51.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).

Model picks

SpreadHuskies +1.5 -111Kalshi-2.9% EV
MoneylineFalcons -101ProphetX
TotalOver 51.5 -108Kalshi+5.5% EV

Starting quarterbacks

Kalieb Osborne
UConn · QB
Yards
1,857
TD-INT
14-2
Comp%
60%
2026: 8.6 Y/A · 346 rush yds, 7 TD
Liam Szarka
Air Force · QB
Yards
296
TD-INT
1-4
Comp%
50%
2026: 7.8 Y/A · 391 rush yds, 7 TD
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.