MH
Miami
Elo 1922 · #2 · 8-0
@
Sat, Oct 31, 6:30 PM CT
Final 38–35
North Carolina
Elo 1586 · #64 · 4-4
Best available across all books & exchanges at pull time, labeled by source.
Matchup factors
Weather
57°F · Partly cloudy
Wind 4 mph
Power edge
Miami by 10.4 pts
projected margin · Elo + home field (+2.5 pts)
Win% (home) — Model 18% · Market 17%
MHMiami
Elo
1922
Rank
#2
Record
8-0
Point diff +239
North CarolinaElo
1586
Rank
#64
Record
4-4
Point diff +22
Win probability — North Carolina
Market17.0%
Model17.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadHeels +14.5 -104Caesars+9.5% EV
MoneylineHurricanes -545NoVig
TotalUnder 52.5 +100NoVig+0.4% EV
Starting quarterbacks
MH
Miami · QB
Yards
2,425
TD-INT
25-1
Comp%
81%
2026: 10.4 Y/A · 109 rush yds, 2 TD
North Carolina · QB
Yards
1,871
TD-INT
15-5
Comp%
63%
2026: 8.0 Y/A · 10 rush yds
Leading passer shown as the projected starter — CFBD has no official depth chart. Current-season stats.